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Awards Season predictions

2021 Oscars Predictions: All Awards Categories

New predictions and updates every Thursday, along with the Awards Circuit column and podcast.


Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars from Film Awards Editor Clayton Davis. Following Academy Awards history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Oscar predictions are updated regularly with the current year's contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. Eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and will be displayed next to revision date.

To see all the latest predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit THE COLLECTIVE.

DRAFT>>>PRE SEASON>>>REGULAR SEASON>>>POST SEASON


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The streaming giant dominated the Golden Globes — garnering 22 nominations across the film categories — which is now expected given its arsenal of content. The next closest studio was Amazon Studios, which took home a respectable seven nods. David Fincher’s “Mank” leads with six nominations and “The Trial of the Chicago 7” is not far behind with five, and it’s no secret that Ted Sarandos wants that coveted best picture prize from the Academy. After coming up short with 2018’s “Roma” and 2019’s “The Irishman” and “Marriage Story,” the focus shifts on the season’s big question: Does Netflix have a best-picture-winning movie? Sorkin’s drama about the seven people on trial following the 1968 Democratic National Convention seems to have the best shot based on buzz and its performance thus far.

Oscar predictions have been updated in all categories including best picture, director, actor, actress, supporting actor and supporting actress. The first full set of predictions for the Screen Actors Guild awards have also been revealed including the undervalued stunt ensemble, along with the very-telling cast ensemble and the acting categories. The first forecasts for the Golden Globes are also updated in the split categories for drama, comedy, foreign language and animated. All links to each category rankings pages are below.


Academy Awards Predictions (All Categories)

  • 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Picture

  • 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Director

  • 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Actor

  • 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Actress

  • 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Supporting Actor

  • 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Supporting Actress

  • 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Original Screenplay

  • 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Adapted Screenplay

  • 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Animated Feature

  • 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Production Design

  • 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Cinematography

  • 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Costume Design

  • 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Film Editing

  • 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Makeup and Hairstyling

  • 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Sound

  • 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Visual Effects

  • 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Original Score

  • 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Original Song

  • 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Documentary Feature

  • 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best International Feature

  • 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Animated Short [coming soon]

  • 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Documentary Short [coming soon]

  • 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Live-Action Short [coming soon]

Awards Circuit Winners Chart

  • 2020-2021 Awards Season

Awards Circuit (Column) Archives

  • 5 Big Takeaways From the Golden Globes and How It Leads to the Oscars – (Feb. 4, 2021)

  • Which Films Are Trending to Receive the Most Oscar Nominations? – (Jan. 28, 2021)

  • Delroy Lindo and Kelly Reichardt Among Possible First-Time Oscar Nominees That Should Already Have Nominations – (Jan. 21, 2021)

  • Sizing Up Contenders as SAG Voting Begins – (Jan. 14, 2021)

  • Party Crashers: Six Films Coming Out in 2021 That Could Be Oscar Contenders – (Jan. 7, 2021)

  • Frances McDormand Could Be First Woman Nominated for Best Picture and Acting Oscars – (Dec. 30, 2020)

  • Who Received the Biggest Awards Season Boost from New York and Los Angeles? – (Dec. 24, 2020)

  • 10 Underdog Movies That Deserve Oscar’s Attention – (Dec. 17, 2020)

  • Honorary Oscar Recommendations: Is It Time for Indiana Jones and Chucky? – (Dec. 10, 2020)

  • Sacha Baron Cohen, Leslie Odom Jr. and Chloe Zhao Have a Shot at Multiple Oscar Noms This Season (Column) – (Dec 3, 2020)

  • How Will the SAG Awards Shape the Oscar Race? (Column) – (Nov. 19, 2020)

  • Will the Oscars Reward Repeat Nominees Like Glenn Close and Amy Adams This Season? (Column) – (Nov. 12, 2020)

  • How Will the Gotham Awards Shape This Year’s Unusual Oscars Race? – (Nov. 5, 2020)

  • In a Year Filled With Hardship, Will Comedies Like ‘Borat 2,’ ‘On the Rocks’ and More Finally Get Some Academy Love? – (Oct. 29, 2020)

  • Women Directors Could Make History at the Next Oscars (Column) – Awards Circuit (Oct. 22, 2020)

  • Could Chadwick Boseman Be the First Person to Earn Two Posthumous Oscar Acting Nominations in the Same Year? – Awards Circuit (Oct. 15, 2020)

  • This Oscar Season Could Be for the Young and the Newcomers – Awards Circuit (Oct. 8, 2020)

  • Chadwick Boseman Could Be Among a Record 7 Posthumous Oscar Nominations – Awards Circuit (Oct. 1, 2020)

  • Aaron Sorkin Enters the Race as ‘West Side Story’ Exits – Awards Circuit (Sept. 24, 2020)

  • Awards Circuit: How Toronto Shook Up the Oscar Race with ‘Nomadland,’ Idris Elba and Kate Winslet (Sept. 17, 2020)

About the Academy Awards (Oscars) The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners are selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). 17 branches are represented within the near 10,000 person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers. Oscars FYC Studio Links Film Studios


    • 20th Century Studios

    • A24

    • Amazon Studios

    • Apple TV Plus

    • Bleecker Street

    • Briarcliff Entertainment

    • Focus Features

    • IFC Films

    • Lionsgate

    • Magnolia Pictures

    • National Geographic Films

    • Neon

    • Netflix

    • Paramount Pictures

    • Roadside Attractions

    • Samuel Goldwyn Films

    • Searchlight Pictures

    • Sony Pictures

    • Sony Pictures Classics

    • Universal Pictures

    • Walt Disney Pictures

    • Warner Bros.


Other Major Film Awards Predictions 2021 Golden Globes Predictions (Film)

  • Best Motion Picture – Drama

  • Best Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical

  • Best Motion Picture – Foreign Language

  • Best Motion Picture – Animated

  • Best Actor in a Motion Picture (Drama)

  • Best Actor in a Motion Picture (Comedy or Musical)

  • Best Actress in a Motion Picture (Drama)

  • Best Actress in a Motion Picture (Comedy or Musical)

  • Best Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture

  • Best Actress in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture

  • Best Director – Motion Picture

2021 SAG Awards Predictions (Film)

  • Best Performance by an Ensemble in a Motion Picture

  • Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role in a Motion Picture

  • Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role in a Motion Picture

  • Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture

  • Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture

  • Best Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a Motion Picture


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